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Nascar Kansas Odds To Win

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Despite finishing inside the top 10 just once in his last six NASCAR at Kansas starts, Harvick enters Thursday's race as the Vegas favorite at 4-1 in the latest 2020 Super Start Batteries 400 odds. Courtesy of BetOnline (Twitter: @betonlineag). Odds to Win NASCAR Hollywood Casino 400 Denny Hamlin – 15/4 Kevin Harvick – 4/1 Chase Elliott – 5/1 Martin Truex Jr – 5/1 Brad Keselowski – 8/1 Ryan Blaney – 10/1 Joey Logano – 12/1 Kyle Busch – 12/ Alex Bowman – 20/1 Kurt Busch – 20/1 Aric Almirola.

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With NASCAR implementing a new aerodynamics package for speedway racing in recent years, 1.5-mile ovals have provided some of the most exciting action in the sport and Kansas Speedway has been no exception. Both 2019 races at Kansas Speedway had green-white-checkered finishes and now NASCAR is hoping for another classic race to kick of the Round of 8 in the 2020 NASCAR Playoffs with the 2020 Hollywood Casino 400. The green flag drops at 2:30 p.m. ET on Sunday. Forty drivers will start side by side with the top eight in the starting grid still competing for the NASCAR Cup Series championship.

Denny Hamlin won the Super Start Batteries 400 at Kansas Speedway in July and he's the 5-2 favorite in the 2020 Hollywood Casino 400 odds from William Hill. However, Kevin Harvick (13-5) and Martin Truex Jr. (18-5) both have multiple wins here and they're also near the top of the NASCAR at Kansas odds board. Before you make your 2020 Hollywood Casino 400 picks, be sure to see the latest 2020 NASCAR Playoffs at Kansas predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven model at SportsLine.

Developed by daily Fantasy pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking into account factors such as track history and recent results.

The model began the 2020 NASCAR season by picking Denny Hamlin to win his second consecutive Daytona 500 at 10-1. It got off to a hot start on its NASCAR picks following the coronavirus hiatus as well, calling seven of the top 10 drivers at both Darlington races. Using the model, McClure also recommended an outright play on winner Brad Keselowski at 13-1 as one of his best bets at Bristol in May.

The model also called Kevin Harvick's win at Atlanta and nailed a whopping nine top-10 finishers in that race. McClure then used the model to lock in a 10-1 bet on Hamlin for his win at Miami. At The Brickyard, the model called Harvick's fourth victory of the season, and then nailed four of the top five drivers in the All-Star Race at Bristol.

In the last two weeks, the model has gone 2-for-2, calling Denny Hamlin to win at 17-2 at Talladega and Chase Elliott to win at 7-2 last week at the Charlotte Roval. Anybody who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model simulated the NASCAR at Kansas race on Sunday, Oct. 18, 10,000 times. Head here to see the complete projected leaderboard.

Top 2020 Hollywood Casino 400 predictions

The model is high on Alex Bowman, even though he's a 22-1 long shot in the latest NASCAR at Kansas odds from William Hill. He's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday. Bowman is currently seventh in the 2020 NASCAR standings and he's 58 points out of the lead and 18 points out of the top four, so he'll likely need a win in the next three weeks to earn a spot in the Final Four for Homestead.

Luckily, Bowman has run pretty well at Kansas of late with three top-10 finishes in his last four starts, including a runner-up finish in the 2019 Digital Ally 400. Bowman led five laps and finished fifth in his last 1.5-mile oval start at Las Vegas, and also led six laps before finishing eighth in his last start at Kansas Speedway in July. He'll start sixth on Sunday and should be up near the front all day with his No. 88 ChevyGoods.com Chevrolet dialed in with a great 1.5-mile setup.

And a massive shocker: Hamlin, the 5-2 race favorite, stumbles big time and fails to get to victory lane. There are far better values in this loaded field. Hamlin has seven wins already this season and he's trimmed Kevin Harvick's lead at the top of the 2020 NASCAR standings to just 13 points entering the Round of 8. But Hamlin is coming off a race where he didn't lead a lap despite starting on the pole and eventually finished 15th at the Charlotte Roval last week.

And even though Hamlin won the 2020 Super Start Batteries 400 at Kansas Speedway earlier this year and last year's Hollywood Casino 400, he's finished outside the top 10 in 15 of his 24 career starts there. He'll start back in seventh on Sunday and all six of the drivers in front of him are still alive in the 2020 NASCAR Playoffs.

How to make 2020 Hollywood 400 picks

The model is also targeting four other drivers with NASCAR Playoffs at Kansas odds of 12-1 or longer to make a serious run at the checkered flag. Anyone who backs these drivers could hit it big. You can only see who they are here.

So who wins Sunday's 2020 Hollywood Casino 400? And which long shots stun NASCAR? Check out the latest odds below and then visit SportsLine now to see the full projected 2020 NASCAR at Kansas leaderboard, all from the model that has crushed its NASCAR picks and nailed the Daytona 500.

Nascar Kansas Odds To Win

2020 NASCAR Playoffs at Kansas odds (via William Hill)

Denny Hamlin 5-2

Kevin Harvick 13-5

Martin Truex Jr. 18-5

Brad Keselowski 8-1

Chase Elliott 8-1

Joey Logano 12-1

Ryan Blaney 13-1

Kansas

Video: Highlights: Briscoe wins Xfinity race at Kansas (NBC Sports)

SETTINGS
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LO

Kyle Busch 14-1

Alex Bowman 22-1

Kurt Busch 30-1

Erik Jones 50-1

Aric Almirola 50-1

William Byron 60-1

Matt DiBenedetto 60-1

Clint Bowyer 75-1

Jimmie Johnson 75-1

Austin Dillon 100-1

Tyler Reddick 100-1

Cole Custer 125-1

Christopher Bell 125-1

Matt Kenseth 250-1

Ryan Newman 300-1

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 300-1

Chris Buescher 500-1

Bubba Wallace 1000-1

John Hunter Nemechek 1500-1

Nascar Kansas Odds To Win

Ty Dillon 2000-1

Michael McDowell 2000-1

Ryan Preece 2000-1

Daniel Suarez 2500-1

Corey Lajoie 5000-1

JJ Yeley 5000-1

Reed Sorenson 5000-1

Joey Gase 5000-1

James Davison 5000-1

Brennan Poole 5000-1

Timmy Hill 5000-1

Quin Houff 5000-1

Chad Finchum 5000-1

Josh Bilicki 5000-1

Picking a winner based on the odds for Thursday night's NASCAR Cup Series race at Kansas Speedway (7:30 p.m. ET, NBCSN) is a challenge because the previous seven races on 1.5-mile ovals this season have produced seven different winners. And as Austin Dillon proved last week, a late-race shuffle could lead to an upset winner even at an intermediate track.

Brad Keselowski and Denny Hamlin won the pair of Cup Series races at Kansas last season with the same rules package being used in 2020, and both are near the top of the odds board for Thursday night's race. But Kevin Harvick is the clear favorite at Kansas.

MORE: Watch NASCAR live with fuboTV (7-day free trial)

Martin Truex Jr., also known as Mile-And-A-Half Martin, naturally is near the top of the odds board, as well, even though his lone win so far this season came on a short track (Martinsville) rather than a 1.5-mile oval. He did finish third at Atlanta and second at Kentucky.

Below are the complete Vegas odds to win Thursday night's NASCAR Cup Series race at Kansas plus our top three picks of drivers who could end up taking the checkered flag.

NASCAR odds to win at Kansas

Harvick, the NASCAR Cup Series points leader, is the favorite for Thursday night's race with good reason. He has the best driver rating (108.7) at Kansas among all drivers in the field, and he and Jimmie Johnson are tied for the most career victories at this track among active drivers with three apiece.

Odds To Win Kansas Nascar Race 2019

As if Harvick needed any help, he was given the pole position to start Thursday night's race based on the results of a random draw. Joey Logano will join Harvick on the front row.

Below are the complete odds to win Sunday's NASCAR race at Kansas, courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.

DriverOdds to win Kansas race
Kevin Harvick+420
Chase Elliott+650
Martin Truex Jr.+700
Kyle Busch+850
Denny Hamlin+900
Ryan Blaney+900
Brad Keselowski+1200
Joey Logano+1600
Aric Almirola+2100
Alex Bowman+2600
Kurt Busch+3100
Erik Jones+3100
Jimmie Johnson+3900
Tyler Reddick+3900
Clint Bowyer+5500
William Byron+5500
Matt DiBenedetto+5500
Austin Dillon+7500
Cole Custer+8500
Matt Kenseth+8500
Christopher Bell+13000
John Hunter Nemechek+15000
Ryan Newman+15000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.+15000
Chris Buescher+17000
Ryan Preece+20000
Bubba Wallace+20000
Daniel Suarez+20000
Ty Dillon+20000
Corey LaJoie+20000
Michael McDowell+20000
Brennan Poole+20000
Joey Gase+20000
Timmy Hill+20000
Quin Houff+20000
JJ Yeley+20000
Josh Bilicki+20000
BJ McLeod+20000
Garrett Smithley+20000
Reed Sorenson+20000

Below are the top 10 driver ratings at Kansas among active racers:

  1. Kevin Harvick, 108.7
  2. Matt Kenseth, 103.1
  3. Jimmie Johnson, 102.3
  4. Martin Truex Jr., 99.6
  5. Chase Elliott, 96.5
  6. Ryan Blaney, 94.7
  7. Kyle Busch, 91.8
  8. Brad Keselowski, 91.4
  9. Denny Hamlin, 88.4
  10. Kurt Busch, 88.4

Harvick has won the pole for the Kansas spring race the past two years, winning in 2018. Of the 28 Cup Series race winners at Kansas since 2001, six of them started on the pole, making the top spot statistically the most proficient starting position in the field.

Odds To Win Kansas Nascar Race

Nascar odds to win kansas

2020 NASCAR Playoffs at Kansas odds (via William Hill)

Denny Hamlin 5-2

Kevin Harvick 13-5

Martin Truex Jr. 18-5

Brad Keselowski 8-1

Chase Elliott 8-1

Joey Logano 12-1

Ryan Blaney 13-1


Video: Highlights: Briscoe wins Xfinity race at Kansas (NBC Sports)

SETTINGS
HQ
LO

Kyle Busch 14-1

Alex Bowman 22-1

Kurt Busch 30-1

Erik Jones 50-1

Aric Almirola 50-1

William Byron 60-1

Matt DiBenedetto 60-1

Clint Bowyer 75-1

Jimmie Johnson 75-1

Austin Dillon 100-1

Tyler Reddick 100-1

Cole Custer 125-1

Christopher Bell 125-1

Matt Kenseth 250-1

Ryan Newman 300-1

Ricky Stenhouse Jr. 300-1

Chris Buescher 500-1

Bubba Wallace 1000-1

John Hunter Nemechek 1500-1

Ty Dillon 2000-1

Michael McDowell 2000-1

Ryan Preece 2000-1

Daniel Suarez 2500-1

Corey Lajoie 5000-1

JJ Yeley 5000-1

Reed Sorenson 5000-1

Joey Gase 5000-1

James Davison 5000-1

Brennan Poole 5000-1

Timmy Hill 5000-1

Quin Houff 5000-1

Chad Finchum 5000-1

Josh Bilicki 5000-1

Picking a winner based on the odds for Thursday night's NASCAR Cup Series race at Kansas Speedway (7:30 p.m. ET, NBCSN) is a challenge because the previous seven races on 1.5-mile ovals this season have produced seven different winners. And as Austin Dillon proved last week, a late-race shuffle could lead to an upset winner even at an intermediate track.

Brad Keselowski and Denny Hamlin won the pair of Cup Series races at Kansas last season with the same rules package being used in 2020, and both are near the top of the odds board for Thursday night's race. But Kevin Harvick is the clear favorite at Kansas.

MORE: Watch NASCAR live with fuboTV (7-day free trial)

Martin Truex Jr., also known as Mile-And-A-Half Martin, naturally is near the top of the odds board, as well, even though his lone win so far this season came on a short track (Martinsville) rather than a 1.5-mile oval. He did finish third at Atlanta and second at Kentucky.

Below are the complete Vegas odds to win Thursday night's NASCAR Cup Series race at Kansas plus our top three picks of drivers who could end up taking the checkered flag.

NASCAR odds to win at Kansas

Harvick, the NASCAR Cup Series points leader, is the favorite for Thursday night's race with good reason. He has the best driver rating (108.7) at Kansas among all drivers in the field, and he and Jimmie Johnson are tied for the most career victories at this track among active drivers with three apiece.

Odds To Win Kansas Nascar Race 2019

As if Harvick needed any help, he was given the pole position to start Thursday night's race based on the results of a random draw. Joey Logano will join Harvick on the front row.

Below are the complete odds to win Sunday's NASCAR race at Kansas, courtesy of FanDuel Sportsbook.

DriverOdds to win Kansas race
Kevin Harvick+420
Chase Elliott+650
Martin Truex Jr.+700
Kyle Busch+850
Denny Hamlin+900
Ryan Blaney+900
Brad Keselowski+1200
Joey Logano+1600
Aric Almirola+2100
Alex Bowman+2600
Kurt Busch+3100
Erik Jones+3100
Jimmie Johnson+3900
Tyler Reddick+3900
Clint Bowyer+5500
William Byron+5500
Matt DiBenedetto+5500
Austin Dillon+7500
Cole Custer+8500
Matt Kenseth+8500
Christopher Bell+13000
John Hunter Nemechek+15000
Ryan Newman+15000
Ricky Stenhouse Jr.+15000
Chris Buescher+17000
Ryan Preece+20000
Bubba Wallace+20000
Daniel Suarez+20000
Ty Dillon+20000
Corey LaJoie+20000
Michael McDowell+20000
Brennan Poole+20000
Joey Gase+20000
Timmy Hill+20000
Quin Houff+20000
JJ Yeley+20000
Josh Bilicki+20000
BJ McLeod+20000
Garrett Smithley+20000
Reed Sorenson+20000

Below are the top 10 driver ratings at Kansas among active racers:

  1. Kevin Harvick, 108.7
  2. Matt Kenseth, 103.1
  3. Jimmie Johnson, 102.3
  4. Martin Truex Jr., 99.6
  5. Chase Elliott, 96.5
  6. Ryan Blaney, 94.7
  7. Kyle Busch, 91.8
  8. Brad Keselowski, 91.4
  9. Denny Hamlin, 88.4
  10. Kurt Busch, 88.4

Harvick has won the pole for the Kansas spring race the past two years, winning in 2018. Of the 28 Cup Series race winners at Kansas since 2001, six of them started on the pole, making the top spot statistically the most proficient starting position in the field.

Odds To Win Kansas Nascar Race

Below is the breakdown of wins by starting position in the history of Cup racing (28 total races) at Kansas.

Starting positionWinning %Wins
1st21.43 percent6
Front row25 percent7
Top 546.43 percent13
Top 1057.14 percent16
Outside top 2010.71 percent3

The top 10 starters for Thursday night's race at Kansas (as determined by a random draw of the top 12 teams by owner points) are as follows: 1. Kevin Harvick, 2. Joey Logano, 3. Aric Almirola, 4. Ryan Blaney, 5. Martin Truex Jr., 6. Alex Bowman, 7. Brad Keselowski, 8. Kyle Busch, 9. Kurt Busch, 10. Denny Hamlin

MORE: Complete starting lineup for Kansas race

NASCAR at Kansas expert picks

1. Kevin Harvick

  • Three wins, eight top fives, 15 top 10s
  • Average finish of 8.583, series-best
  • Average running position of 9.022, series-best
  • Driver rating of 108.7, series-best

As the points standings show, Harvick's team has been the most consistent and arguably the best in the Cup Series this season on all tracks, but especially intermediate circuits. Add Harvick's history of success at Kansas to the equation, and we have an easy pick to make.

2. Ryan Blaney

  • Three top fives, five top 10s
  • Average finish of 15.700, 11th-best
  • Average running position of 10.086, second-best
  • Driver rating of 94.7, sixth-best

Nascar Kansas Odds To Win World Series

Blaney undoubtedly had the best car at Texas last week and likely would have won the race had a caution not come out during a green flag pit stop cycle late in the race. He'll have a chance for redemption at a similar track Thursday night.

3. Martin Truex Jr.

Nascar Kansas Odds To Win Prizes

  • Two wins, eight top fives, 10 top 10s
  • Average finish of 13.870, sixth-best
  • Average running position of 11.542, fifth-best
  • Driver rating of 99.6, fourth-best

Nascar Odds To Win Kansas

Truex tends to run well at Kansas, as only Harvick, Blaney, Johnson and Matt Kenseth have better career average running positions at the track. He is statistically the best Joe Gibbs Racing driver at Kansas, giving him an edge in a strong JGR stable that's looking for its first win in a month.





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